Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +26 (90-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 3 | - |
| James Jones * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 38 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Al Horford * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Speedy Claxton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario West | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Othello Hunter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter