Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (102-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 17-23 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 27 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 26 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 40 | 13-23 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 40 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Pops Mensah-Bonsu * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Roko Ukic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter