Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (95-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 41 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 36 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| JJ Redick | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 16-34 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 20 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| James Jones * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luther Head * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter