Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (103-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 41 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Allen Iverson * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Walter Herrmann * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 11-20 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 29 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter