Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (95-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 39 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 37 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 35 | 6-12 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 44 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 16-30 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 27 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter