Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -10 (71-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 42 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Al Horford * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mario West | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 9-26 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 41 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 38 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| James Jones * | 29 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter