Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (91-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 4-15 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 10-16 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Jones * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 43 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 18 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter