Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (97-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Young * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Oleksiy Pecherov * | 11 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 30 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 25 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mark Blount | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter