Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (96-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 38 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 29 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Greg Oden * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 12-22 | 1-5 | 11-15 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 29 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 34 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter