Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 16-29 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 16 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 33 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 40 | 1-14 | 0-6 | 5-8 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 35 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter