Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +11 (114-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| James Jones * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 23 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 23 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy * | 35 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 33 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 31 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Maceo Baston * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter