Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 43 | 12-24 | 3-8 | 11-14 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 20 | - |
| Delonte West * | 39 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tarence Kinsey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 42 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 7-23 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 39 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 26 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter