Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +29 (107-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 38 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 28 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Acie Law | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mario West | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Gardner | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Othello Hunter | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 10-21 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| James Jones * | 30 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 26 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 19 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter