Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (102-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 42 | 10-23 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 13 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Joe Alexander * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 23 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Damon Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| James Jones * | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 20 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Luther Head * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter