Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 43 | 13-21 | 6-7 | 10-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 29 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 40 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Delonte West * | 37 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 16-30 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 27 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter