Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✗ (25.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +23 (122-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 17-30 | 2-7 | 14-15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 31 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 35 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 35 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 35 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 17 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Marcin Gortat | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Richardson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter