Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (103-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 40 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marcin Gortat | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brian Cook | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 11-21 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 32 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Jones * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter