Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -5 (96-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 13-23 | 2-4 | 11-14 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 28 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 36 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Luther Head * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 41 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 37 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Walter Herrmann * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Amir Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter