Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (93-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 11-25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 19 | 5-16 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Von Wafer * | 39 | 7-18 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 37 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 34 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
* = starter