Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (96-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 39 | 6-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 39 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| DeMarcus Nelson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Chalmers * | 38 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 13-25 | 0-5 | 6-10 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 27 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 27 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter