Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -15 (96-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 12-14 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 28 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Devean George * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| James Singleton * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 13 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 13-23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| James Jones * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter