Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | -2.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -3 (96-99). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 13-16 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 29 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 22 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Jones * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 38 | 12-21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 30 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter