Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (98-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mario West | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Acie Law | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Chalmers * | 42 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 11-23 | 3-7 | 16-17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 27 | - |
| James Jones * | 37 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 35 | 11-25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 35 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter