Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (107-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 13-31 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 31 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 25 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 41 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Will Solomon * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 33 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Roko Ukic * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter