Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (94-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Marko Jaric * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamario Moon * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 31 | 11-23 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Luther Head * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| James Jones * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter