Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -14 (104-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 15-17 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 29 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 29 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 28 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 25 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 19 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 39 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Javaris Crittenton * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 37 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nick Young | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Oleksiy Pecherov | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter