Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (107-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Powe * | 42 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 40 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 40 | 10-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Henry Walker * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Pruitt * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Chalmers * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 13-16 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 26 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 20 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| James Jones * | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter