Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (109-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Murphy * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 36 | 11-21 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 35 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 43 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 15-24 | 2-3 | 6-11 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 25 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter