Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (93-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 45 | 10-31 | 4-9 | 5-7 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 41 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 41 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Stuckey * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 36 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Allen Iverson * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter