Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +16 (95-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Acie Law | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 43 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 25 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| James Jones * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter