Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +16 (102-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Anthony * | 34 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 27 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 20 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 40 | 8-17 | 4-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter