Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -15 (83-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bogut * | 40 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 36 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 30 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joe Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 41 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 39 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 35 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 21 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter