Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (102-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 49 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Walter Herrmann * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 28 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones * | 37 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 31 | 9-13 | 5-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 18 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter