Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 43 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 6-17 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 32 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 14-24 | 0-1 | 10-15 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 26 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter