Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✗ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -14 (73-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 39 | 8-20 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 37 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 35 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Acie Law * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mario West | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 41 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 9-24 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mark Blount | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter