Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +15 (106-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones * | 41 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 9-19 | 1-2 | 10-13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 12-15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 33 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Al Horford * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Mario West | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Acie Law | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Thomas Gardner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter