Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 38 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 37 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | -1 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Cedric Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Chalmers * | 37 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 11-23 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 33 | 4-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 23 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter