Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (108-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 13-23 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 40 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 36 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 20 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| JR Smith * | 27 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
* = starter