Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 47 | 11-26 | 1-1 | 18-24 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 29 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 41 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Jones * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin * | 46 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 14-15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 40 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| John Salmons * | 40 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 28 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Thomas | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter