Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (90-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 5-24 | 1-6 | 10-12 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 37 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| James Jones * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Luther Head * | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Rush * | 41 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 41 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 37 | 10-20 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 14 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Maceo Baston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter