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Miami Heat

Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

2005 Team Stats (78 games)

101.3
PPG
94.6
Opp
+6.7
Margin
48.8%
FG%
37.6%
3P%
67.8%
FT%
42.7
RPG
21.6
APG
13.4
TO
92.9
Est. poss./game
99.6
Adj PPG
93.9
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1227 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1172 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +61 elo More โ†’ 1112 (#3) HCA +61 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +5.7 (#3) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +6.2 (#5) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.674 (#2) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.6 More โ†’ 0.675 (#2) NetEff +6.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.0 More โ†’ 0.665 (#3) AdjNet +6.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.0 More โ†’ 0.666 (#3) AdjNet +6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.6 | AdjD 93.9 More โ†’ 0.626 (#3) AdjO 99.6 | AdjD 93.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 98.8 | AdjD 93.3 More โ†’ 0.622 (#5) AdjO 98.8 | AdjD 93.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.687 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.686 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 97 More โ†’ 1151 (#3) RD 97 | GP 97

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-03 @ Brooklyn Nets W 100 - 77
2004-11-04 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 92 - 86
2004-11-06 @ Washington Wizards W 118 - 106
2004-11-09 vs Washington Wizards W 103 - 93
2004-11-11 vs Dallas Mavericks L 93 - 113
2004-11-12 @ San Antonio Spurs L 84 - 93
2004-11-14 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2004-11-16 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 97 - 108
2004-11-17 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 113 - 106
2004-11-19 vs Utah Jazz W 107 - 105
2004-11-21 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 93 - 83
2004-11-23 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 87 - 99
2004-11-24 @ Atlanta Hawks W 99 - 93
2004-11-26 @ Detroit Pistons L 77 - 78
2004-11-28 vs Boston Celtics - Incomplete score
2004-11-30 vs Toronto Raptors L 92 - 94
2004-12-03 @ Chicago Bulls W 105 - 81
2004-12-04 @ Denver Nuggets L 95 - 104
2004-12-06 @ Utah Jazz W 100 - 80
2004-12-08 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 101 - 96
2004-12-10 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 92 - 84
2004-12-12 @ Toronto Raptors W 106 - 98
2004-12-13 vs Washington Wizards W 106 - 83
2004-12-15 @ Washington Wizards W 98 - 93
2004-12-17 vs Denver Nuggets W 107 - 100
2004-12-19 vs Orlando Magic W 117 - 107
2004-12-21 vs Boston Celtics W 108 - 100
2004-12-23 @ Sacramento Kings W 109 - 107
2004-12-25 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 104 - 102
2004-12-27 vs Atlanta Hawks W 116 - 102
2004-12-30 @ Detroit Pistons W 89 - 78
2005-01-01 vs Charlotte Hornets W 113 - 90
2005-01-03 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 96 - 98
2005-01-05 vs New York Knicks W 102 - 94
2005-01-07 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 103 - 92
2005-01-09 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 98 - 108
2005-01-11 @ Phoenix Suns L 107 - 122
2005-01-12 @ Golden State Warriors W 98 - 91
2005-01-14 @ LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2005-01-19 vs Atlanta Hawks W 111 - 92
2005-01-21 vs Indiana Pacers L 100 - 106
2005-01-23 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 97 - 68
2005-01-24 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 98 - 106
2005-01-26 @ Toronto Raptors W 111 - 96
2005-01-28 @ Atlanta Hawks W 106 - 96
2005-01-30 vs Houston Rockets W 104 - 95
2005-02-01 @ Dallas Mavericks L 104 - 109
2005-02-03 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 100 - 88
2005-02-05 vs Chicago Bulls W 108 - 97
2005-02-07 vs Golden State Warriors W 105 - 96
2005-02-09 @ New York Knicks W 116 - 110
2005-02-11 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2005-02-13 vs San Antonio Spurs W 96 - 92
2005-02-16 vs LA Clippers W 113 - 95
2005-02-22 @ Chicago Bulls L 101 - 105
2005-02-23 @ Indiana Pacers L 91 - 93
2005-02-26 vs Orlando Magic W 101 - 98
2005-02-27 @ Orlando Magic W 112 - 103
2005-03-03 @ Brooklyn Nets W 106 - 90
2005-03-04 vs Sacramento Kings W 104 - 83
2005-03-06 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 102 - 82
2005-03-07 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 108 - 100
2005-03-10 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 107 - 90
2005-03-12 vs Brooklyn Nets W 90 - 65
2005-03-14 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 110 - 71
2005-03-15 @ New York Knicks W 98 - 96
2005-03-17 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 102 - 89
2005-03-19 vs New York Knicks W 97 - 82
2005-03-22 @ Houston Rockets L 82 - 84
2005-03-25 vs Phoenix Suns W 125 - 115
2005-03-26 @ Charlotte Hornets L 92 - 94
2005-03-29 vs Toronto Raptors W 103 - 91
2005-03-31 @ Indiana Pacers L 108 - 114
2005-04-02 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 111 - 99
2005-04-05 vs Chicago Bulls W 104 - 86
2005-04-08 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 81 - 97
2005-04-10 vs Detroit Pistons L 72 - 80
2005-04-14 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 119 - 126
2005-04-15 @ Boston Celtics L 99 - 101
2005-04-17 vs Indiana Pacers W 84 - 80
2005-04-19 vs Charlotte Hornets W 99 - 80
2005-04-20 @ Orlando Magic W 98 - 93
2005-04-24 vs Brooklyn Nets W 116 - 98
2005-04-26 vs Brooklyn Nets W 104 - 87
2005-04-28 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2005-05-01 @ Brooklyn Nets W 110 - 97
2005-05-08 vs Washington Wizards W 105 - 86
2005-05-10 vs Washington Wizards W 108 - 102
2005-05-12 @ Washington Wizards W 102 - 95
2005-05-14 @ Washington Wizards W 99 - 95
2005-05-23 vs Detroit Pistons L 81 - 90
2005-05-25 vs Detroit Pistons W 92 - 86
2005-05-29 @ Detroit Pistons W 113 - 104
2005-05-31 @ Detroit Pistons L 96 - 106
2005-06-02 vs Detroit Pistons W 88 - 76
2005-06-04 @ Detroit Pistons L 66 - 91
2005-06-06 vs Detroit Pistons L 82 - 88

2005 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dwyane Wade G 75 38.6 24.2 5.1 6.7 1.6 1.1 4.2 17.1 17.4 379 57 6.6 26.0 48.1 28.9 76.2 1.52 56.3 48.6
Shaquille O'Neal Shaquille O'Neal G 69 33.7 22.6 10.2 2.7 0.5 2.3 2.8 14.9 20.8 380 57 6.7 34.8 60.1 0 46.6 1.6 58.5 60.1
Eddie Jones G 76 35.2 12.6 5.0 2.6 1.1 0.5 1.2 10.1 10.4 389 60 6.5 31.0 43.1 37.0 80.0 1.11 55.8 51.6
Damon Jones G 78 31.1 11.5 2.8 4.2 0.6 0.1 1.2 8.7 9.3 363 61 6.0 29.2 45.6 43.3 79.1 0.66 62.6 61.1
Udonis Haslem Udonis Haslem G 76 33.3 10.9 9.0 1.4 0.8 0.5 1.4 7.9 13.3 387 61 6.3 28.1 54.6 0.0 78.2 2.08 59.2 54.6
Malik Allen G 12 18.6 6.1 4.0 0.8 0.3 0.8 0.8 6.0 5.2 -42 19 -2.2 -9.4 44.4 0 90.0 -0.69 47.8 44.4
Rasual Butler Rasual Butler G 61 17.8 6.1 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.6 5.9 3.4 264 54 4.9 55.6 40.2 37.2 79.5 -0.03 49.6 47.3
Christian Laettner G 47 15.2 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.6 3.7 5.5 147 39 3.8 52.4 60.7 14.3 75.5 -0.33 63.9 61.0
Keyon Dooling G 71 16.2 5.2 1.2 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.9 4.7 3.3 284 54 5.3 41.4 40.2 25.3 81.8 0.27 48.7 43.0
Alonzo Mourning G 19 12.9 5.0 3.7 0.2 0.2 1.7 0.6 3.3 6.9 -139 22 -6.3 -51.8 51.6 0 56.4 -0.35 55.1 51.6
Michael Doleac G 77 15.0 4.1 3.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 4.3 3.8 311 61 5.1 47.9 44.5 0.0 61.0 -0.64 45.8 44.5
Shandon Anderson G 61 17.7 4.0 2.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.8 3.3 4.7 120 45 2.7 14.2 45.0 17.9 83.1 1.43 52.3 46.3
Qyntel Woods F 3 13.3 3.3 2.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.7 4.0 2.0 - - - - 41.7 0 0 -1.35 41.7 41.7
Wesley Person G 13 12.2 3.2 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 3.2 1.8 -5 18 -0.3 -0.9 41.5 40.0 100.0 0.54 50.1 48.8
Wang Zhi-zhi G 19 4.6 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.9 1.6 33 14 2.4 52.7 47.2 66.7 70.0 -1.13 53.2 50.0
Dorell Wright F 3 9.2 2.3 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.0 1.0 3.7 0.3 - - - - 27.3 0.0 100.0 - 30.6 27.3
Steven Smith G 13 8.7 1.8 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.3 1.7 -175 36 -4.9 -115.1 30.0 20.0 66.7 -0.72 36.7 35.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG