Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 42 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 40 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 33 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 20 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rodney White * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 41 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 37 | 3-13 | 2-11 | 4-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter