Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +21 (104-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 33 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Eddie House * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 39 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 6-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 31 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter