Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +15 (122-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 16-20 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 28 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wesley Person | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Richardson * | 43 | 5-20 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 41 | 11-22 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 39 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter