Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 18 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Justin Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 27 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 41 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 33 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter