Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 43 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 8-16 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 44 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 42 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 18 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Derrick Coleman * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter