Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 45 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 40 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 37 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 26 | 2-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Steven Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter