Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +16 (97-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Qyntel Woods * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Steven Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 37 | 10-16 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 16 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter