Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -2 (102-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 49 | 6-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 46 | 10-26 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 43 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 39 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 50 | 12-30 | 5-13 | 13-13 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 13 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 48 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 47 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 46 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tierre Brown * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Luke Walton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter