Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -5 (93-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyon Dooling * | 30 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 27 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 42 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 40 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 36 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 34 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Andre Barrett * | 14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Mario Kasun * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mark Jones * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Hunter * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter